Passing the Hat Around

September 9, 2009 at 4:27 pm (Overseas)

Singapore acts as the responsible global player by helping to pick up the tab. The more we say we are first world, the more the international community would want us to help chip in. There is nothing wrong in helping out since what goes around comes around in the international arena of realpolitik karma and reciprocity, but sometimes we don’t know how and where the taxpayers’ money is spent. Just like how we are concerned about GIC investing our money and the returns Singapore is getting.

Singapore raises IMF contribution fourfold
(AFP)

WASHINGTON — Singapore has agreed to increase fourfold its contribution to an International Monetary Fund credit line aimed at combating financial crises, the fund said Tuesday.

The island republic would increase its current contribution to the fund’s New Arrangements to Borrow (NAB) of 500 million dollars, by 1.5 billion dollars to 2.0 billion dollars.

The NAB is a set of credit arrangements between the IMF and a group of members and institutions to provide supplementary resources to the Washington-based fund to help cope with financial crises.

“I welcome the commitment by Singapore to support the lending capacity of the IMF through an increased contribution to the New Arrangements to Borrow,” said IMF managing director Dominique Strauss-Kahn.

“Singapore’s contribution will strengthen the global financial system by increasing confidence that the IMF’s resources will be sufficient to meet the financing needs of its member countries,” he said.

The leaders of the Group of 20 emerging and developed nations agreed at a summit in April in London to hike the IMF’s NAB facility by up to 500 billion dollars.

The European Union announced last week it would raise the bloc’s contribution to 125 billion euros (178 billion dollars).

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Cow Heads and Scapegoats

September 7, 2009 at 11:42 am (Overseas)

Well at least Najib has the sense not to openly fuel Hindu-Muslim conflict. Still, the spectator is reminded that Malaysia is for the Malays and Muslims mainly. This sort of tension forms the bedrock of the Hindus’ frustration and one can get a better understanding of how groups like Hindraf can take to the streets with enough numbers. Race and religion, especially when we defiantly and provocatively pin the badge on our chest shouting down others in the meantime, is a formula for disaster. The majority ethnic group in Malaysia doesn’t get it nor bothers to get it, comfortable in basking in its majority status and privileges like bumiputraism.

There is a side show to this. Pakatan Rakyat is now in the hot seat as this temple controversy is in their district and the spectator can bet BN will try to play the issue to their advantage, and shaking the upstart challenger’s image that it is for a more egalitarian Malaysia.

Back the question we should ask ourselves, is  Singapore better than Malaysia in how we treat our minorities?

Malayasia PM urges Muslims not to insult other religions

KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak on Saturday quoted from the Quran to urge fellow Muslims not to insult people of other faiths, after residents of a Muslim-majority area, protesting re-location of a Hindu temple to their locality, carried cow heads in a rally on Friday.

Residents of Section 23 locality in Shah Alam, capital of Selangor state, staged a protest rally against relocation of a 150-year-old Sri Mariamman temple from Section 19 to their Muslim Malay-majority area.

The protest sparked controversy when some of the participants brought along cow’s head – an animal deemed sacred by the Hindus – and placed it at the state secretariat, Star Online said.

Addressing a gathering at a mosque amid observance of Ramzan, Razak urged Muslims to follow “the true Islamic teaching of showing respect” and refrain from condemning or insulting other religions and their believers.

Both Surah Al-Maidah (phrase 8 ) and Surah Al-An’am (Phrase 108) advised Muslims that if they went against other religions, this would cause the other believers to act violently against them, he said.

Muslims were also forbidden from insulting or desecrating items considered sacred to followers of other religions, so that, in turn, they would show respect to Islam, Razak added.

“During the era of prophet Muhammad, he himself allowed followers of other religions to practise what they believed, and forbade his followers from going against them. We hope during this holy Ramzan month, we can prove that we are the most disciplined followers,” said Razak.

The attorney general’s office tasked with initiating legal action has asked the police for extensive investigation. The police have interrogated over 100 people and has identified the wrongdoers, media reports said.

Meanwhile, several Malaysians staged a peaceful demonstration outside the country’s mission in London over the government’s handling of insulting display of cows heads.

At the meeting at Malaysian High Commission at Belgrave Square Friday, the protesters gathered for three hours holding placards and distributing leaflets to the public.

Hindus form a bulk of the nearly two million ethnic Indian population of Malaysia.

The incident has also acquired political hues with charges being exchanged between the federal government ruled by Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition and Selangor, that is ruled by the opposition alliance Pakatan Rakyat (PR).

A disclaimer came from a ruling alliance youth leader who reportedly participated in the protest.

Sohaimi Shadan, an executive council member of Umno Youth, denied he was the mastermind behind the protest, saying that he joined the group after Friday prayers at the state mosque.

The government asked online portal Malaysiakini to remove footage and videos on the cow heads protest from its website immediately following numerous public complaints.

In a letter, the Malaysian Communication and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) requested the website to remove the videos as they had intentions to “annoy any person, especially Indians” – an offence under Communication and Multimedia Act 1998.

Malaysian Hindu Sangam chairman R.S. Mohan Shan said the group was firm in its stand that the best place to relocate the temple was in Section 23.

“I visited the location and I saw no obstruction and the construction of a temple will not disturb anybody,” he said.

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NDR 2009 and Navel Gazing Disappointment

August 17, 2009 at 7:08 pm (Getting By)

There was lots of talk on race and religion’s delicate balance in Singapore. At least for me, it was preaching to the choir and I am already a convert on the importance of mutual respect on race and religion. I don’t like the word tolerance as there are implied messages that X is not liked, but it is tolerated or Y is irritating, but it is tolerated. Respect, not tolerance, for different races and religions is a better idea to establish in the minds of the average Singaporean.

The recession is still around us but the government has not given any handouts this NDR surprisingly. The economy might be that bad that they are tightening their belts. Also, no handouts is a writing on the wall that an election is not around the corner at least for the next 9 months, since the Budget in February 2010 is another window for angpows. I wasn’t expecting any focus on political space, but I certainly didn’t expect race and religion to be the engine driving the whole of the NDR. The messages of peaceful co-existence and respect in multi-ethnic Singapore is an important one, looking at how Malaysia is at the precipice of  racial chaos, but it is an inappropriate one for this rally during this gloomy period. Where were the subsidies and rebates I was anticipating?

Or am I just another spoiled pampered Singaporean dependent on goodies every NDR and Budget and lost sight of the big picture?

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NDR 2009 and Wish for Rebates and Subsidies

August 16, 2009 at 2:06 pm (Getting By)

NDR goes social media. Impressive indeed following Obama’s social media campaign.

Prime Minister’s Office : http://www.pmo.gov.sg
Channel NewsAsia : http://ndr09.channelnewsasia.com
Facebook : http://www.facebook.com/REACHSingapore
#ndrsg : http://twitter.com/Reach_Singapore
REACH web site : www.reach.gov.sg/ndrsg
Prime Minister’s Office YouTube channel : http://www.youtube.com/pmosingapore

Last year, the PAP government relaxed rules on Speakers’ Corner and that protests can be held there. The government also relaxed rules on the campaigning in the internet during elections. During the 2006 rally, the government for the first time acknowledged the digital divide in such a setting, following the election that year. I don’t think there will be more such soft touch rhetoric this year tonight during the rally. Such soft touch or no touch promises are nice but with a bad economy still in the horizon, I want the government to focus more on subsidies and rebates rather than political space specifically.

What will the HDB conservancy rebates be? What about income tax? Last year, it was an attractive 20% rebate capped at $2000. Will there be a public transport handout into Ezy link cards to encourage public transport use? A GST rebate would also be timely now.  I hope to see a more emphatic government this year and tonight’s NDR is a good chance for them to show understanding of the financial difficulties affecting most of us.

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Kick Out Burma

August 13, 2009 at 6:11 pm (Overseas)

Singapore is no longer Asean Chair.  There is no longer need to pretend to protect Burma, the spoilt retarded orphan in Asean. This is a good opportunity for Singapore and the rest of Asean to kick out Burma. Engagement has failed. Burma is quietly smiling away at how it has managed to get its own way every time. I certainly don’t believe that the Lady would just only be under house arrest for 18 months. Another supposed crime or technicality would manifest and her term would be extended. She has been in and out of house arrest since she returned to Burma in 1989 and nothing will change with this junta.

Myanmar antics pose new headache for frustrated neighbours

KUALA LUMPUR (AFP) – Myanmar’s treatment of democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi has once again embarrassed its neighbours, and revived calls for the military state to be expelled from the regional bloc ASEAN.

The junta this week extended the opposition leader’s house arrest for another 18 months, drawing international outrage but underlining how resistant the ruling generals are to outside pressure.

The case came just a month after the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) endorsed the region’s first human rights watchdog and fended off criticism it would be powerless to tackle rogue members.

“The arrest shows that the relationship between Myanmar and its ASEAN partners is not as robust as it was in the past,” said Bridget Welsh, a Southeast Asia specialist with the Singapore Management University.

“ASEAN leaders are frustrated because they think they’ve engaged and embraced Myanmar on many different levels,” she said, including unprecedented humanitarian cooperation after a devastating cyclone in 2008.

Welsh said Myanmar’s insistence on putting its own domestic interests well ahead of those of its neighbours meant it would continue to cause real damage by constantly overshadowing the bloc.

“ASEAN does not want as an organisation to always be associated with Burma,” she said, noting that Washington’s interactions with the region have been particularly dominated by the affairs of Myanmar, which was previously known as Burma.

“Most ASEAN countries are small and they need the organisation for global representation, and when that talk is dominated by the actions of one country, it prevents regional issues from getting adequate attention.”

Suu Kyi’s legal team is expected to appeal her latest sentence, which stemmed from a stunt in which American man John Yettaw swam to her lakeside house in May.

A prison court sentenced her to three years of hard labour after finding her guilty of breaching the terms of her incarceration, but junta strongman Than Shwe commuted the punishment to a year and a half under house arrest.

Lim Kit Siang, vice-president of the ASEAN Inter-Parliamentary Caucus on Myanmar, said the junta had shown “utter contempt” for the organisation’s ideals and that regional governments must now respond with more than words.

“The time has come for ASEAN to seriously consider expulsion or at least suspension of Myanmar from ASEAN,” he said in a statement.

Analysts said the timing of the latest drama was unfortunate as ASEAN members had just forged agreement on the human rights body.

“The verdict is an embarrassment for ASEAN because it has been grappling with the issue of human rights and trying to establish acceptable norms among members,” said Tim Huxley from the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

“If political confrontation was taken to its logical conclusion, Burma could be suspended or expelled but frankly that’s not going to happen,” he said.

Myanmar’s neighbours are concerned that if Southeast Asia’s problem child is ejected from the grouping, it could be driven further into the embrace of China, which is hungry to exploit its natural resources.

There are also business interests to protect — regional states have close business ties with Myanmar, refusing to join the United States and European Union in imposing sanctions on the regime which has been in power since 1962.

And ASEAN is hamstrung by its principle of non-interference in members’ internal affairs, which during its 42-year history has prevented it from bringing errant members into line.

Despite its consensus-based approach, some of the more democratic members of the disparate grouping — which also takes in monarchies and communist states — are becoming increasingly outspoken over Myanmar.

Malaysia led calls for an urgent meeting of ASEAN members to address the latest crisis, deploring the sentence that prevents Suu Kyi from taking part in general elections next year.

And Indonesia, increasingly confident on the world stage, made a strong push to give more teeth to the new human rights body, in a stand that nearly scuttled its endorsement last month.

“The guilty verdict… is a serious blow to the standing of ASEAN both locally and internationally,” Alistair Cook and Mely Caballero-Anthony from the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies said in a commentary.

“If ASEAN does little to improve this situation, then its credibility will be further undermined… It will be difficult for the association to portray itself as providing regional solutions to regional problems.” By SARAH STEWART/AFP)

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Backroom US Diplomacy and PR

August 6, 2009 at 3:00 pm (Overseas)

The entire Welcome Home saga was first class in PR management and story-telling. A hungry human interest-angle media waiting at the special hanger to receive the 2 fortunate American journalists. The optimism that the North Koreans can be persuaded  out of goodwill although nobody wanted to ask what was offered to them quietly for the quid pro quo and the persistence of their blackmail strategy in the world stage.  Most important of all, the Carter-Clinton formula that former presidents can do their own Track 1.5 diplomacy, with or without the endorsement of the ruling government of the day.  I just can’t help but think of Lee Kuan Yew’s globetrotting since he stepped down.


Analysis: Bill Clinton as a diplomatic fix-it man

WASHINGTON (CNN) — It was a heartwarming sight: Laura Ling and Euna Lee landing on U.S. soil and being reunited with their families.

To their elation of their families, Bill Clinton returned to the U.S. with journalists Laura Ling and Euna Lee.

To their elation of their families, Bill Clinton returned to the U.S. with journalists Laura Ling and Euna Lee.

Then, after an appropriate amount of time for hugs and kisses, Bill Clinton appeared, descending from his movie-producer friend’s plane like an angel from heaven.

An emotional Ling practically referred to the former president as a messiah, describing to the media and well-wishers waiting at the airport how she and Lee thought they were being sent to a hard-labor camp, only to walk through a door to find Clinton. The crowd broke into loud applause.

For all of those who wondered what Bill would do in Hillary Clinton’s diplomatic world, wonder no longer.

As details of the Clinton mission came out, it was revealed that the North Koreans themselves asked for Clinton, promising amnesty for the women upon delivery of the former president, whose visit eluded them while he was in office. The deal was done even before Clinton stepped on the plane.

So what is next for Bill Clinton?

If the mere thought of a meeting with him is enough to move a regime notorious for never moving, can the Obama administration use that star power to rescue three American hikers who ventured into Iran and are believed to be held by Iranian authorities? Can Clinton head off two Russian attack submarines cruising in the Atlantic off the East Coast of the United States?

Don’t Miss

Former presidents are used as envoys and undertake humanitarian missions all the time.

Then-President Clinton used former President Jimmy Carter to travel to North Korea in 1994 to negotiate the end to the first nuclear crisis. Clinton and his predecessor, George H.W. Bush, were tapped by Bush’s son, then-President George W. Bush, to lead relief efforts to help Asian and African nations devastated by the 2004 tsunami and again in 2005 after Hurricane Katrina.

But the relationship between Bill and Hillary Clinton and President Obama is complex, to say the least. After a bitter-fought battle during the Democratic primaries, Hillary Clinton supporters were looking for a robust role for her in exchange for her support of Obama, with many even suggesting her as a possible candidate for vice president.

That idea was short-lived. The Obama team wanted Hillary far from the West Wing. And they wanted Bill even farther.

When Obama tapped Hillary to be his secretary of state, there was no shortage of critics who asserted that her husband’s global foundation and role as a high-paid public speaker would present a conflict of interest. The Clintons agreed to strict rules of the road to avoid such conflicts going forward.

However Hillary never demurred in her praise for what her husband has accomplished, both during his eight years in the White House or post-presidency. Hillary herself has said she considered her husband a trusted adviser and could even consider him using him where appropriate. He is a former president, after all.

Bill Clinton has largely stayed out of the limelight, quietly continuing his globetrotting on behalf of the world’s poor and downtrodden. In May, United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki Moon appointed him as the United Nations’ special envoy to Haiti in an effort to refocus international attention on the Caribbean country’s deep economic problems and environmental decay.

But with the success of his North Korean mission so quick and easy, it’s conceivable that Bill Clinton could add the role of “diplomatic cleaner” to his resume — a version of Harvey Keitel’s role as Winston Wolfe in the movie “Pulp Fiction” — a fixer of messy problems, which he solves with a combination of stylish charisma and lucid thinking under pressure.

The Obama administration has no shortage of messy foreign policy problems that Hillary Clinton knows could use a Winston Wolfe.

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Is the Bear Talking Bull?

August 3, 2009 at 1:40 pm (Getting By)

Sentiment, not facts, is the order of the day. From political myths to the mad rush for mass market condos, we believe what we want to believe although the facts scream otherwise.  Good news amid all the bad news for our national carrier nonetheless.

Optimism Over Singapore Air Is Unfounded

It is difficult to understand bullishness about Singapore Airlines when the carrier itself is warning of a difficult year.

The airline Thursday posted a $212 million loss for the quarter ended June and said it could be headed for its first ever full-year loss. Analysts collectively expected a near break-even quarterly figure, and still forecast an annual profit.

The surprise in the results was not so much the losses from the carrier’s positions on jet-fuel prices but the size of the hit to both passenger and cargo yields, which fell 18% and 33% respectively.

[SIA]

Passenger yields were last at this level in the first quarter of fiscal 2005, says the Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation. However, the airline’s costs have risen 32% since then.

Never mind, bullish analysts say. A turnaround for both cargo and passenger segments is near as global trade recovers and Singapore Air’s high paying passengers return to the skies later this year. The airline generates about 60% of its profit from business and first class passengers.

This is a tricky case to make. The H1N1 virus has already had a bigger impact on travel in Asia than many expected.

The long haul market upon which Singapore Air relies for much of its revenue — nearly three quarters come from flights to destinations outside of East Asia — could be slow to recover as businesses hesitate to fund long-distance travel, and tourists stay closer to home.

Cargo demand may have bottomed earlier this year, but a substantial recovery in global trade of goods that can be air freighted needs a pickup in consumption in the West — still a distant prospect.

Neither is Singapore Air trading at historically low valuations. The stock’s 20% recovery so far this year puts its price to expected book value ratio at 1.10, says Mirae Asset Securities analyst Jay Ryu. The last time Singapore Air posted a quarterly loss, during the 2003 SARS outbreak, its share price fell below book value.

And that was a relatively short-term hit.

At a shareholder meeting Friday, Chairman Stephen Lee said he anticipates a “prolonged period” of slackened demand.

The bulls, it seems, are deaf to the airline’s own warnings.

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Yasmin Ahmad (1958-2009)

July 29, 2009 at 1:56 pm (Getting Along, Overseas)

Yasmin directed the excellent MCYS video Funeral and that is when mainstream Singapore was wowed by her talent. However, she was already an established independent socio-political commentator across the causeway with works like Sepet. An award-winning touching film about ethnic relations that I’ve still unfortunately not watched yet, but heard so much about since it was launched with much controversy. It is a big shame that Yasmin is no longer around. You will be missed.

The spirit of Yasmin
mysinchew.com

Award-winning director Yasmin Ahmad did a non-commercial advertisement entitled “Tan Hong Ming In Love” two years ago.

The advertisement was filmed in a primary school and the camera focused on a primary school boy named Tan Hong Ming.

The interviewer asked the boy: “Who do you like the most?”

Tan replied: “Umi, Umi Qazrina.”

“Why do you like her?”

“She wears earrings, she ties a ponytail, she is pretty.”

“Does she know you like her?”

“No, I keep it a secret.”

“Why?”

“She doesn’t like me,” he said after some hesitation.

Then, the interviewer asked Umi Qazrina, a lovely Malay girl: “Who is your best friend?”

“Tan Hong Ming.”

“Do you like him?”

Umi did not answer but she blushed.

“Do you have a boyfriend?”

She nodded shyly.

“Who is your boyfriend?”

“Tan Hong Ming.”

At that moment, Tan, who was standing next to her, was shocked in disbelief. He then held Umi’s hand with a smile on his face and walked away.

The footage ended with a statement: Our children are colour blind. Shouldn’t we keep them that way?”

The advertisement was made for the 50th Merdeka Day.

Many activities were held and a lot of money was spent on the 50th Merdeka Day celebration two years ago.

It was the 50th Merdeka Day, but so what? Political parties were still stressing on racialism, politicians were still playing up racial issues and everything was so frustrating.

I thought so at that time and only felt a little relief after I saw the advertisement. Finally, someone has actually made the point.

It was the spirit of Malaysia 50 years after Merdeka. It could be found nowhere else, but it exists naturally in our children’s world, and Yasmin found it.

Our children know that people living in this country or even in this world can actually get along and love each other without racial barriers. Problems among racial groups happen to be the worst man made invention.

Yasmin also made another non-commercial advertisement.

The interviewer asked a Malay boy:” Who is your best friend?”

He pointed at the Chinese boy next to him.

“What is his race?”

“What is race? Race, that means race car?”

Yasmin Ahmad had always made our hearts warm and brought us confidence.

She was a true Malaysian and she left us footages that represent the true spirit of Malaysia.

The government should gather all her works and show them to all Malaysians through schools, National Service and training centres of Biro Tatanegara, replacing all those racist teaching materials.

It is the best way for us to remember and thank her.

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JI is Back with a Bang

July 20, 2009 at 12:44 pm (Overseas)

The Marriott was again bombed in Jarkata. Australia has warned its citizens of holidaying in Indonesia after the recent bombing. Good move considering that ever since Howard took on the role of the US’ deputy sheriff for this region, it is a prime target for JI. The bombings in Bali in 2002 made Australians sure of the bullseye on them. But Australia was never this cautious about the JI. One month before Bali 2002, some in the Australian media scoffed the idea of JI terrorism in the region and insinuated it was pure rubbish. Famous last words.


The 2009 comeback bombing is hopefully an isolated one and not a return of the yearly JI bombings in Indonesia from 2002 to 2005 which saw Bali struck twice. While life must go on and terrorism can never be prevented, and fatigue would result from constant vigilance, I think it is still unfortunately too early to dismiss the JI and the JI-inspired scourge just yet. The militants like to remind us that they are still dead set on their terrorism.

When will our turn come and can we survive it?


Travel warning as more terrorist attacks expected

Tom Allard Herald Correspondent in Jakarta
July 20, 2009 – 12:15AM

THE Australian Government has warned that more terrorist attacks could be staged in Jakarta after the twin blasts that killed nine and injured more than 50 at the JW Marriott and Ritz Carlton hotels on Friday.

By smuggling bombs into heavily protected buildings and by targeting a breakfast meeting of executives, it is becoming clear the murders were a sophisticated operation involving many people.

But there have been no arrests. The man many suspect of being the mastermind, the Malaysian-born terrorist Noordin Mohammed Top, remains a fugitive.

“There is a possibility of further terrorist attacks in Jakarta and elsewhere in Indonesia, including Bali,” a government advisory said yesterday. “Reconsider your need to travel.” It is the second-highest level of alert, below the blanket warning of “do not travel”.

Three Australians died in the attacks: Craig Senger, Nathan Verity and Garth McEvoy.

Investigators were yet to identify either of the suicide bombers, said Nanan Soekarna, a national police spokesman. They are continuing to try to reconstruct their features from their severed heads.

There was speculation late yesterday that Nur Hasbi, also known as Nur Sahid, would soon be revealed as one of the suicide bombers. The man’s father, Muhammed Sahir, was visited in his Central Java village by investigators, who may have taken a DNA sample to match the bomber’s corpse.

A room in the Marriott that was the control centre of the operation was booked under the name Nurdin Aziz. Police are still trying to establish the bona fides of that name. A terrorism analyst, Sidney Jones, said she suspected the man was Nur Hasbi, a member of a terrorism group led by Noordin.

The discovery of a laptop believed to belong to one of the suicide bombers in a room at the Ritz Carlton could be a breakthrough for the investigation.

Chryshnanda Dwi Laksana, of the Jakarta police, said it contained information and codes, believed to have been used by the bombers to communicate with each other.

Australian security forces and the Malaysian and Singaporean governments are assisting in an intensified hunt for Noordin, who has played a role in terrorist attacks in Indonesia going back to the first Bali bombings in 2002.

The bombs used on Friday were similar to one uncovered at the home of Noordin’s father-in-law in Cilacap three days before the attacks. They are also like the bombs used in the second Bali bombings organised by Noordin.

Australia’s national security committee of cabinet has met four times since the bombings as intelligence chiefs briefed senior ministers on developments.

The Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd, described the Jakarta bombings as “a violent, barbaric act of murder”. He said Mr Senger, an Austrade officer, was the first Australian civilian official killed by terrorists while on duty.

Mr Senger’s family issued a statement yesterday saying what a wonderful husband, son, brother and friend he was.

“Craig greatly enjoyed his life in Jakarta,” the family said. “He performed a rewarding job that he loved and he really valued the many friends that he had made there.”

The Minister for Foreign Affairs, Stephen Smith, visited the sites of the bombings and spoke to family members of the Australian victims, including Mr Senger’s wife, Kate.

Mr McEvoy’s family flew to Jakarta from Brisbane to reclaim his body. Mr Verity’s wife, Vanessa, and father, Peter, visited the morgue where the remains of the Perth businessman were being kept.

Mr Smith paid tribute to the staff at the embassy in Jakarta, many of whom knew Mr Senger, who had worked there. “It has been a really terrific display of sympathy and solidarity to fellow Australians,” he said.

with Brendan Nicholson

Singapore facts stranger than fiction
Age Melbourne
September 21, 2002
By Mark Baker

THE latest Singapore government revelations about a plot by local Muslim fundamentalists to launch a series of terrorist attacks give the distinct impression that the murderous reach of al Qaeda is flourishing in Southeast Asia.

Increasingly breathless media reports in recent days have fuelled suggestions that the region has narrowly escaped a ferocious onslaught and that the danger is far from over.

The truth is stranger, and tamer, than such fiction. Stripped of the emotive language of terrorist cells and jihads, of shadowy operatives and clandestine codes, the latest disclosures by the Singaporeans if anything reveal how amateurish and naive the alleged conspirators were – and how comprehensively their plotting has been exposed and defused.

In a statement released late on Thursday, Singapore’s Ministry of Home Affairs said that 21 alleged Muslim militants arrested last month had been plotting attacks on the Defence Ministry, Changi International Airport and strategic facilities including water pipelines and communications installations.

The group was said to be affiliated with 15 other men arrested last December and accused of conspiring to attack US military targets in Singapore and Western embassies, including the Australian high commission.

Almost all of those now being detained without trial for two years under the Internal Security Act are claimed to be present or former members of Jemaah Islamiyah, an Indonesian-based Muslim movement the Singaporeans and the Americans insist is the regional front for al Qaeda.

So who are these latest villains? Among a motley crew of delivery drivers and tradesmen are a butcher, a used-car salesman and a part-time foot reflexologist (who may have been pulling the leg of the earnest officers from Singapore’s intelligence agencies).

The evidence against them hardly smacks of a serious threat: a few photos of buildings and pipelines purported to be the result of surveillance operations, documents detailing a rough organisational structure and some shorthand pads with amateurish illustrations of military training. Not a weapon or an explosive device in sight.

Most improbable of all is the Singaporeans’ headline-grabbing allegation that the group was conspiring to design attacks that would be blamed on Malaysia, would in turn destabilise relations between the two countries and eventually lead to sectarian violence that would trigger the fall of the Mahathir government.

“The aim was to create a situation in Malaysia and Singapore conducive to overthrowing the Malaysian government and making Malaysia an Islamic state,” the Home Affairs Ministry reported, without a hint of incredulity.

The authorities also earnestly reported that three of the latest detainees had undergone weapons training at al Qaeda camps in Afghanistan. What was not spelled out was that that training took place in early 1990s when the US-backed mujahideen groups, including Osama bin Laden’s, had been fighting a common Soviet enemy.

Another detainee is accused of spending time at a southern Philippines training camp of the Moro Islamic Liberation Front – the main separatist group fighting for a Muslim homeland in Mindanao and a group the Philippines Government now recognises in peace talks.

Most of the incidents detailed by the Singapore authorities date back to 1999 and early 2000. No evidence has been produced that the accused militants were active in any serious way in the lead-up to September 11 last year or since.

In perhaps the most pertinent passage buried deep in the long account of alleged conspiracies released on Thursday, the authorities conceded: “None of these efforts is known to have led to a fully developed or finalised plan for attack.” Independent defence analysts are sceptical about how serious a threat Osama bin Laden’s alleged surrogates ever posed.

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Spring is Here

July 14, 2009 at 7:53 pm (Getting By)

Optimism is in the air. However, one must read between the lines. This increase in selected exports is because of stock replenishing, after inventories are used up when companies wound down production in recent months. The US, a major global importer, still continued an import decline for the 10th month in a row. The country is not buying and importing enough to pull the global economy out of recession. Besides, the fundamentals in USA still remain unsound. Home loan mortgage rescue might be faltering and with it, another round of credit crunches and banking shudders is expected. I want to be wrong but optimism is still too early. Good luck to those prospectors who snapped up condos in Singapore recently as they were riding on the optimistic wave that spring is here. They might have found Fools’ Gold instead and put more pressure on the anticipated mortgage foreclosure round here.

By Martin Abbugao

SINGAPORE (AFP) — Singapore announced its economy grew for the first time in a year in the second quarter, suggesting the city is emerging from its worst recession and offering hope for other battered Asian economies.

Powered by electronics and biomedical exports, the economy soared 20.4 percent in the three months to June compared with the first quarter on a seasonally adjusted annualised basis, the Ministry of Trade and Industry said.

A Dow Jones Newswires poll of 10 analysts had tipped an average 14.1 percent economic expansion. It was the first quarter-on-quarter growth in five quarters.

Gross domestic product (GDP) is now expected to contract 4-6 percent for the year, better than an earlier projection of 6-9 percent, but the ministry warned that any recovery would be weak due to the fragile global economy.

Trade-driven Singapore last sank into a recession in 2001 when the economy shrank 2.4 percent, its worst slump since gaining statehood in 1965.

It became the first Asian economy to slip into recession in the second half of last year after a financial and economic crisis that started in the United States hit demand for its exports.

Tuesday’s data meant that Singapore is the first of the Asian countries hit by recession to release statistics pointing to a recovery.

Compared with the previous year, however, output in the June quarter was down 3.7 percent, indicating that the economy remained weak.

“The economy is growing again,” said David Cohen, an economist with research house Action Economics.

“Growth won’t be very strong but it should remain in an upward trajectory,” he told AFP.

Tuesday’s data compare with a 14.6 percent quarter on quarter contraction in the three months to March.

DBS Group called it a “stunning turnaround” in line with its forecast.

CIMB-GK economist Song Seng Wun said Singapore’s June quarter rebound boosts hopes that the worst is also over for China, South Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan and other Asian economies affected by the global crisis.

“Because Singapore has an open economy and has the highest exports to GDP ratio, its performance reflects any improvement or deterioration in global demand,” Song said.

Despite the quarter-on-quarter growth, the trade ministry cautioned that “the outlook for the rest of the year remains largely unchanged: of a weak recovery susceptible to downside risks.”

“At this juncture, there is no evidence yet of a decisive improvement in final demand,” the ministry said, adding the second quarter surge “may not be sustained.”

The key manufacturing sector contracted by 1.5 percent in the June quarter, compared with a 24.3 percent shrinkage in the previous three months, reflecting the spike in pharmaceuticals and electronics, the ministry said.

But the services sector, which accounts for two-thirds of the economy, continued to shrink with a decline of 5.1 percent in the June quarter from a year ago, it said.

It noted that rising unemployment and reduced consumer spending in major export markets such as the United States and Europe reflected the continued weakness in the global economy.

The June quarter figures are computed mainly from the April-May period and the ministry is expected to release a more detailed picture in the next few weeks.

Action Economics’ Cohen predicted that “this will be the first in a series of upbeat GDP reports for the second quarter from Asian economies.”

“Maybe this will provide some reassurance to the markets which have been jittery in the last few weeks about the sustainability of the recovery. It shows that Asian economies have turned the corner in the second quarter.”

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